It is the beginning of October and the Oscars are still 5 months away but I have always argued that I can pick which films will get nominated even without seeing them. Since the nominations won't come out for another four months and no magazine will be doing predictions for at least a few more weeks I thought I would take this as an opportunity to prove my point.I am pretty sure they are doing 10 nominations for best film this year so my picks are as follows:
My Guesses For
BEST PICTURE NOMINATIONS
1. The Kings Speech
2. For Colored Girls
3. True Grit
4. Inception
5. The Social Network
6. Toy Story 3
7. The Town
8. Welcome to the Rileys
9. Hereafter
10. The Fighter
The first five I think are practically given and the second five are my guesses. The other contenders I am guessing are as follows, with the first five most likely to steal a spot and the last five to be the long shots.
11. The Conspirator
12. Black Swan
13. 127 Hours
14. Greenberg
15. Casino Jack
16. Winter's Bone
17. It’s Kind of a Funny Story
18. Fair Game
19. Shutter Island
20. Tree of Life
Other Guesses
I think the directors of my first five picks will all get nominated. I am also guessing Natalie Portman will be a front runner for Black Swan with her competition being the cast of For Colored Girls. Robin Wright will be a frontrunner for Supporting Actress in The Conspirator up against the rest of the cast of For Colored Girls. For Best Actor Colin Firth in The Kings Speech will be pitted against Jeff Bridges for True Grit as well as my pick James Gandolfini in Welcome to the Rileys. And I think Christian Bale will finally get his Oscar for The Fighter unless Matt Damon in True Grit can stop him. Of Gods and Men will almost certainly get nominated for best foreign film. Best Documentary will go to Waiting for Superman, Countdown to Zero, Force of Nature, or The Tilman Story. Toy Story 3 already has the animation Oscar in the bag. Inception will likely take the most Oscars for all the effects, editing, and sound categories as well as an Oscar for original screenplay.
Anyway a lot can happen between now and then so maybe I'll be way off. We'll have to wait till February when they announce the nominations to see how well I know my stuff. In the meantime I'm going to try see all these films so I can tell you which deserve to win.
